Cider tax dropped

After much furore in Dorset and Somerset - and many other quarters - the cider tax increase rate plan has been quietly dropped. 


Ministers were forced to rescind the increase, announced in the Budget, as part of efforts to get laws passed after the general election was called.


The Digital Economy Bill's Broadband Tax and Voting Reform Legislation has also been shelved. 


You'd never guess there was an election... 

We're off. At last.

So, Gord drove to see an old lady - who can't vote - she said alright and Gord drove back. Welcome to the 2010 campaign. 


In the meantime, and rather cynically to steal media attention, don't call me Dave jumped up and set out his campaign. Yes, just him. In contrast, Gord wheeled out the cabinet. (Mandy and Jowell seemed particularly bored). Nick seemed slightly confused and only later grabbed his wife - Vince - and managed a rather lacklustre speech. 


So, what is the state of play after the first day? 

• Dave drove home the National Insurance row, after Gordon dropped the NI bomb during a GMTV interview (hard-hitting it was too). Speaking at a Warburton's factory in Bolton, Cameron repeated the need not to risk economic recovery. 
• Gordon spent most this afternoon rowing back in media interviews on his NI position. Constitutional reform also suddenly popped up again.  
• Nick visited my neck of the woods - Liverpool Wavertree. After a quick 10 minutes tour of a community centre, he attacked the Tories and Labour. Interestingly, he didn't shy away from a full on attack on Labour during the last PMQs - accusing them of blocking reform etc.  

Did someone say Militant Tendency?

Michael Gove's attack today on Labour comes at an interesting time both electorally and for the Labour Party. 

Labelled as the 'new Militant tendency', Unite have come into CCHQ's firing line for their links to Labour MPs and, specifically, Gordon - following the announcement of BA strikes. 


Having just written a chapter on Militant for my impending dissertation, I find  the Gove announcement interesting. 


Firstly, it seems to affirm that Gove is indeed in the 'A List' - a group of Tories who will be wheeled out across the country to demonstrate that the Tories have changed. Eric Pickles, the party's chairman, has been left out. 

Secondly, in invoking the idea of Militant tendency, with their entryist strategy and Trotskyite ideology, the Tories are attempting to highlight Labour own funding 'issues' - much the same as Labour has down with Lord Cashcroft. 


It does say a lot though that the most effective tactic the 'new' Tories seem to have is to attack Union funding... 


Nevertheless, it does raise interesting prospects for the post-election environment and it seems to suggest that the Unions have once again become a rattling stick for the Tories. 

What is going on with the Tories?

A few months ago, it was no secret, Labour's chances were shot. Gordon looked to be leading Labour to a Foot-esk electoral defeat. The Tories consistently enjoyed a lead into the 40s and on a whole host of issues - crime, terrorism, the economy, social reform, etc - Cameron's Conservatives led.

So what's gone wrong?

Economic worries. Cameron's spring 'we can't go on like this' campaign - with talk of cutting hard and fast - hardly won any favour with a shaken electorate. By contrast, Darling during the same period was able to articulate a pledge to reduce the deficit on a more 'relaxed' basis. 

Personalities must also factor. I wonder, in the years and months to come, whether Gordon's appearance on the Piers Morgan programme will ultimately be of some use. It certainly showed a more human side to the Prime Minister and alluded to the problems of office. 

The manifesto also poses problems. Having a 'draft' manifesto is perhaps one of the most novel ideas from Cameron's Conservatives to date. However, as Michael Gove's school reforms plans suggest, they open up the possible of attack much sooner - simply put: they either look shiny and dazzling or they sink into a quagmire of arguments. 

The Cashcroft affair deserves a mention. Ashcroft has further served to underline perceptions of Tory elitism - the old boys network - with campaigns being afforded huge amounts of cash (far more than the unions could ever muster). Today, indications suggest a rift within the Tories about Ashcroft with those to the moderate wing of the party infuriated by his timing. The fact he has launched fresh legal action against The Indy - further prolonging the saga - hasn't gone down too well. 

If Cameron is to move back into double figures he'll need to tighten up his ship - simply relying on the public to dislike Gordon will not win them an election. 

Election night counts back on?

Iain Dale, the Conservative blogger and soon to be prospective parliamentary candidate, highlights an important - and under reported - aspect of the Constitutional Reform and Governance Bill. 

It all follows concerns that many Returning Officers will wait until the Friday morning, rather than the traditional overnight count, to being their returns. 


The Guardian's January article challenged the overall impact of Returning Officers' decisions - claiming over half questioned would still oversee an overnight count - but this still raised the possibility of nearly half the counts being delayed. 


Dale challenges this still further. He notes that key sections of the bill have been removed, paving the way for overnight counts to continue. 

NEW CLAUSE 37 - Parliamentary elections: counting of votes

'(1) Schedule 1 to the Representation of the People Act 1983 (c. 2) (parliamentary elections rules) is amended as follows.

(2) In rule 44 (attendance at counting of votes) after paragraph (5) insert-

"(6) In making arrangements under this rule, the returning officer shall have regard to the duty imposed on him by rule 45(3A) below."

(3) In rule 45 (the count)-

(a) after paragraph (3) insert-

"(3A) The returning officer shall take reasonable steps to begin counting the votes given on the ballot papers as soon as practicable within the period of four hours starting with the close of the poll.";

(b) after paragraph (7) insert-

"(8) The Electoral Commission shall issue guidance to returning officers on the duty imposed by paragraph (3A) above."

(4) After rule 53 insert-

"Counting of votes: statement by returning officer

53ZA (1) In a contested election, if the counting of the votes given on the ballot papers did not begin within the period specified in rule 45(3A) above, the returning officer shall before the expiry of the period of 30 days starting with the day on which the poll closed-

(a) prepare and publish a statement giving the information specified in paragraph (2) below, and

(b) deliver it to the Electoral Commission.

(2) The statement must-

(a) specify the time at which the counting of the votes given on the ballot papers began,

(b) describe the steps taken under rule 45(3A) above, and

(c) explain why the counting of the votes given on the ballot papers did not start within the period specified in rule 45(3A) above.

(3) Where a statement is delivered to the Electoral Commission under paragraph (1)(b) above, the Commission shall specify in any election report they produce that a statement has been delivered to them under that paragraph in respect of the constituency to which the statement relates.

(4) In paragraph (3) above "election report" means a report under section 5(1) or (2A) of the Political Parties, Elections and Referendums Act 2000 in relation to the parliamentary election in question."'.- (Mr. Wills.)

Considering the increasing possibility of a hung parliament, it seems ever more important that counts declare as soon as possible - avoiding any delays in the coalition building process.  

Lord Who?

Considering the furore surrounding William Hague's position on Lord Ashcroft, this morning's poll results for the Tories are quite good.

Hague, speaking to the BBC's The World Tonight, seemed to distance himself (and by inference) the party from their wealthy donour - stating that he had 'no knowledge' of Lord Ashcroft's 'non-dom' status. Hague originally nominated Ashcroft for a peerage in 2001. 

Yet, despite this, this morning's YouGov poll places the Tories in a 'No Change' positon of 38 (from yesterday's poll), Labour suffer a point loss at 32 and the Lib Dems return to form at 19 (+3) after yesterday's slump to 16. 

This suggests three interesting points:

1. The Tory brand is relatively undamaged by the Ashcroft affair - suggesting the public simply don't care about the tax status of a non-dom, or, perhaps more worringly for the Tories, such behaviour doesn't come as a surprise. Landed elites anyone?

2. The affair points towards a wider distrust in politics, with both Labour and the Conservative's having suffered in recently days and weeks from a number of heavy hitting affairs. In effect, Darling's admission of bullying in Downing Street and Ashcroft's tax dodging have cancelled one another out. 

3. We are still heading for hung parliament territory - with both the Tories or Labour failing to open up a substantial lead despite each others respective problems.

A tale of two polls

A few months ago it was dismissed as out of hand, today two new polls seriously suggest the chance of a hung parliament. 

A ComRes poll for The Independent has the Tories (slightly) ahead with a 5 point lead. Despite such a lead, it would still mean Labour returned as the largest party. 

However, a YouGov poll for The Sun paints a slightly different picture. They point to the Tories having a 7 point lead, which would leave Parliament with no overall majority. 

Either way, according to the polls, we're heading for hung parliament territory.

Confirmed: Tory lead still only 6pc

A lot of Tory folk got very excited last night when a YouGov poll seemed to suggest the Tories were back up into a double figure lead following Bullygate. 

However, Peter Kellner has confirmed the figures to be inaccurate. Rather, they show no difference between the set released on Saturday night. 


The fact that these figures have remained the same must come as a much needed break for Labour and a let down for the Tories - and Lib Dems. 


So, they stand as: 

CON:        39% (39) 

LAB:         33% (33) 

LIB DEM: 17% (17) 

However, caution, I suspect - although it might not be being taken 'as seriously' at the moment - the label of 'bully' might be seen to have a wider resonance - particularly with floating voters around the time of the election.

I've never voted Tory before...

  

Credit: Dizzy Thinks (http://dizzythinks.net)

Gordon unveil's election slogan

A future fair for all

That shall be the election campaigning slogan adopted by Labour. 

Rather interestingly, a pack being delivered to those on the front-line has another, equally as interesting, slogan, 'Let the fightback begin'.

One other tidbit of news, for all you Jackie Wilson fans out there, it looks as though 'Your love keeps lifting me higher' is the new D:ream 'things can only get better'.

I'll let you judge that.